A lot of attention has been paid to the wake-up call dealt to the Republican Party when Obama overwhelmingly won the Latino vote over Romney. Since then, the Republican elites, including social conservatives like Rand Paul, are willing to talk about immigration reform and privately realize they must woo back Latino voters in order to be competitive in a national election. It is true Latinos are the fastest growing minority group in the U.S., but there are also other demographic shifts underway in society. Chris Cillizza focused on one of them in yesterday's Washington Post, namely the rise of single mothers. Cillizza writes:
Take white voters. Obama lost to Romney among white voters, 59 percent to 39 percent. But among white single mothers, Obama bested Romney 56 percent to 43 percent. Lower-income voters are another good example. Obama took 60 percent to Romney’s 38 percent in all households making $50,000 or less a year. Among under-$50,000 households that also included a single mother, Obama took a whopping 79 percent to Romney’s 20 percent.
To be clear, the Republican Party’s issues with single mothers — as demonstrated above — are not its first priority when it comes to demographic problems that need to be solved before 2016. The first problem is clearly the GOP’s inability to win any significant number of the ever-increasing Hispanic population.
To be sure, there are overlaps between single moms and Hispanic voters and working class voter, both groups who are strongly Democratic voters. But if the Republican party is to win a national election, it must also win over this group instead of systematically alienating groups that cover wide swaths of the population.
One need not rack one's brain to hard to speculate about the causes of the large number of single moms voting for Obama. At the top of the list is probably the GOP's perceived hostility toward women, Mitt Romney "47%" comment, and a strong emphasis on "family values" would all seem to work to push single moms away from the GOP.